November 13, 2018
2:00pm – 3:00pm Los Angeles
Center for HIV Identification, Prevention, and Treatment Services (CHIPTS) Methods Seminar
Health Policy Modeling Using Simulations: Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Pre-exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) for the Prevention of HIV Among Men Who Have Sex with Men (MSM) in Los Angeles County
Sze-chuan Suen, PhD
Assistant Professor
Epstein Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering
University of Southern California
Tuesday, November 13, 2pm – 3pm
Center for Community Health, UCLA Wilshire Center
10920 Wilshire Blvd, Suite 350, Room 350-46 (Conference Room)
*** LIGHT REFRESHMENTS WILL BE SERVED ***
We will begin promptly at 2:00 p.m.
Health policy modeling and cost-effectiveness analysis can be useful tools to inform policymakers who must decide how to allocate scarce resources between interventions. Accurate modeling of the disease dynamics must reflect population trends, disease transmission rates, treatment uptake and adherence, and mortality risks before and after the intervention. Dynamic transmission models can capture these patterns, but they must be carefully calibrated and validated to empirical data.
Here, we use a dynamic simulation model of HIV in Los Angeles County to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of Pre-exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) compared to interventions to improve testing and treatment for HIV among men who have sex with men (MSM). We will discuss the model structure, inputs, and output capabilities of the published model, and we will also discuss limitations and concerns with these types of models.
This event is hosted by the Center for HIV Identification, Prevention, and Treatment Services (CHIPTS) and made possible by funds from the National Institute of Mental Health (MH058107).